Getting nothing out of the Wrexham game had upped the pressure on this one, as did Oxford’s win at Preston (with their next two games being both at home, against Blackburn and then us), while the Blackburn v Portsmouth draw wasn’t the worst possible outcome. You couldn’t say it was a ‘must-win’ game for us, but it wasn’t far off, as failure to win would leave us looking at the fixture list and wondering where the points we need to stay up would come from (aside from Oxford next weekend, after the trip to Middlesbrough). And not winning becomes a habit; it would stretch the run of games without a win to five.
We managed to avoid that and secure the points, thanks to another excellent defensive display, one assisted by Birmingham’s strange decision to start with -and persist with – a centre-forward who couldn’t handle being given a lesson by Jones in particular, supported by the excellent Ramsay and Bell. We restricted them to one effort on target, a tame free-kick down Mannion’s throat, and really just a few moments of danger after Stansfield came on for the final half an hour or so. At the other end Dykes, clearly up for the challenge, gave us hope that we might nick one, which with the introduction of Kelman we finally did. To our massive relief, it proved to be enough.
For the team, the main question pre-match was which defenders would not be available. We assumed Burke would be out, after his early injury against Wrexham, and Jones the Boss had indicated that Sichenje and perhaps Bell too might not make it. At least we would have Coady back available. In the event Bell made it, but Sichenje did not. With Kaminski still injured, in front of Mannion would be a back three of Ramsay, Jones and Bell, with Clarke and Chambers the wing-backs. Coady only managed a place on the bench, with a midfield of Coventry, Docherty and Carey reminiscent of earlier in the season, while up front it would be Dykes and Campbell, with Leaburn and Kelman in reserve. Also on the bench would be Gough and Fullah, with Berry not in the squad.
The first half was a pretty even affair, but one that on actual chances we more than shaded. Both teams were quick to get men back behind the ball and for spells were pressed back. They started the better, perhaps finished the better, but in between we had a spell of dominance that could have resulted in us being ahead at the break.
The first real chance came on 18 minutes as Docherty intercepted a ball forward on the left side and slid a pass forward along the line for Dykes to run on to, in the clear but some way out. A burst of blistering pace to be in on goal is not exactly his forte, so seeing their keeper off his line he tried his luck with an attempt to curl one over his head into an empty net. Now Dykes had an excellent game, but he got this one wrong and the ball barely got off the ground before going harmlessly wide.
A much better opportunity came a couple of minutes later. Campbell was fed by Dykes and did well to get to the byline and send in a low, hard cross. It was deflected away but only to Clarke in space just inside their area. But his first touch was heavy and although he got his goalbound shot away their defenders had closed the space and the effort was turned away for a corner. And from that corner Coventry came in at the far post and looked likely to score before their keeper got a touch to the ball to divert its path and result in it being put wide. The final effort of note was after the half-hour as Carey whipped a ball into the box which only just evaded Dykes, then Campbell couldn’t get it under control, finally the ball looping up for Docherty, but he was unable to get any power on his header which was easily saved.
Birmingham had their share of possession but, despite the trickery of Gray on their left, were unable to convert that into attempts on goal (they had just one, none on target). Their centre-forward’s only contribution to the game was a nasty, late challenge on Jones. He was shown a yellow for it; on replays it might have been interpreted as a red.
Early in the second half that guy should surely have received another yellow and been off the pitch. A lofted ball forward was watched and headed clear by Jones, but the centre-forward, running towards Jones, had no real interest in the ball. He clattered into Jones, deliberately. The ref, who had a decent enough game aside from this and another key moment, bottled it and just gave the free-kick. We’ve benefited in the games against Sheff Utd and Leicester from referees making the right calls and showing red cards, but that was not the case today. Remarkably Birmingham didn’t substitute the guy immediately.
We did have a decent opening on 53 minutes as Dykes went low to deflect on a ball forward and Campbell ran in behind. But their defender did very well to get back and make a key challenge to divert his effort behind for another corner. But the game then took a turn in Birmingham’s favour as the made two changes just before the hour, the sad centre-forward and Gray withdrawn and Stansfield sent on. Immediately he was dropping deep and not offering Jones a predictable challenge. For a while it seemed as though the changes might result in them taking the lead.
An unlucky (for us) break down their left saw their winger get clear, only for his cross to be put behind, and from the resulting corner a half-clearance fell to a guy on the edge of the box in space, but his shot was blocked. Stansfield skipped past two challenges down their right, only for his cross to be cleared. And then the ref gave them a free-kick on the edge of the area. The effort was easily saved by Mannion (and was to be their only one on target all game).
It was time for us to make changes, but also evident that Jones the Boss might have a dilemma. Should he switch formation to the 4-3-3 that we’ve tried before, with Campbell and Fevrier operating either side of Dykes? Or should he keep the shape and change the personnel? He opted for the latter and on 69 minutes Rankin-Costello and Kelman came on for Docherty and Chambers, with Campbell switching to left-side wing-back.
Just four minutes later we were in front. A Carey long throw from our right side was helped on by Dykes (or a defender) and Kelman took control of the resulting scramble, taking a touch then managing to get his body shape right to shoot well, beyond their keeper’s dive into the net. Instinct and coolness when the chance arose, qualities which have of late been in short supply.
Still a long way to go. The game might have been settled on 78 minutes as from a poor Birmingham clearance Clarke received the ball and went into the box, only to be flattened by the challenge. Have to see it a few more times before being able to say for sure it was a penalty, but certainly a case for one. Instead, just after Birmingham came as close to equalising as they were to, with Stansfield playing in their other sub on the left. He cut inside but his curling effort was just overdone and went over.
If anything in the closing stages we might have scored again. Leaburn replaced Dykes, who had put in a real shift, Carey had a shot blocked, Kelman fired wide but from an offside position. Just before the start of five minutes of stoppage time Gillesphey and Coady replaced Cambell and Coventry, to shore up the defence, and the only moment of note before the end was Leaburn shooting wide from inside their box. It mattered not, at the final whistle we celebrated.
The sense is one of massive relief. With Oxford having won two on the spin and with two home games coming up, the simple equation of them and Sheff Wed taking two of the three relegation spots is now far less clear-cut, while the sight of Leicester and West Brom vying for that third place still seems odd. The win gives us vital breathing space ahead of the trip to Middlesbrough – one for which we will presumably park the bus and view anything as a bonus – and then Oxford away next Saturday, a game we’d hope to win but might now be content simply not to lose. Nine points clear of the relegation zone with 10 games to play. Not safe of course, not comfortable yet either, but a major stride towards staying up.