It had been a while since we went into a league game as clear underdogs and, although the recent run of results left us content that anything out of the game would be a bonus, that doesn’t stop you craving another win, one that would send out a resounding message to the teams around us. We’d beaten them at The Valley back in October by strangling the life out of them in a dogged display, giving them barely a sniff of our goal, with at the other end Kanu running them ragged and laying on the winner for Godden. Yesterday we were paid back in kind.
Their control of midfield and defensive acumen left us with barely a sniff of their goal all game. Our only moments of real threat were Docherty’s blocked shot and Campbell’s good run to the byline wasted by an overhit cross, while our only effort on target (Docherty’s shot probably was also) came with Kanu’s shot from a tight angle easily saved. Other than that we had a header or two from set pieces which might have led to something but didn’t. Birmingham snuffed out our main sources of chances, with Campbell and Small well shackled, leaving Godden and Berry with nothing to feed off.
To our defence’s credit Birmingham weren’t able to run riot, but could easily have been more than one up at the break, even though the match stats show they only had two efforts on target all game. Going into the final stages we were at least still in it and you never know. But Birmingham saw out the game as comfortably as we did at The Valley, spending more time in our half than we did in theirs, leaving us with no cause for complaint (aside from some erratic refereeing and several strategic shoves by Birmingham going unpunished – but set against that was the officials’ failure to spot Maynard-Brewer’s early error).
There were no surprises with the team/squad, no changes made. There was I guess an element in that of laying down the gauntlet, Jones opting against any alterations in light of the opposition. Can’t argue with that, although perhaps there was an argument for freshening things up, with replacements getting increasingly rusty. But hindsight’s a wonderful thing.
After an edgy opening the game’s first real incident came on 11 minutes when Maynard-Brewer was trying to usher a ball forward into the box to enable him to pick it up. Trouble was he missed his final touch, leaving the ball still short, but opted to dive on it anyway. It was clearly still outside the box. Whether the punishment would have been a yellow or a red I’m not sure, but we got away with one. The outcome was made even better by their manager getting a yellow for his protests.
Next up, on 22 minutes we went behind, the only surprise being that it was the result of our mistake. Coventry was trying to shield the ball by the touchline but Stansfield got a foot to it and moved it past him, running onto the loose ball. To compound the error Coventry then lost his footing, leaving Stansfield with a clear run at Gillesphey, with options available. Gillesphey showed him the outside and held off making any challenge, so Stansfield moved it onto his right foot and hit a belter from the edge of the box into the roof of the net. Could Gillesphey have done more to close him down? Perhaps, but his priority as the last man was to try and hold things up. Could Maynard-Brewer have saved it? Possibly, but would have been a fantastic save.
The rest of the half was largely about us chasing shadows and trying to prevent them getting a second. They came close with a free-kick hit well over the wall and down, which beat Maynard-Brewer but struck the outside of the post, then a curler from the edge of the box which also had MB reduced to watching and hoping as it went just wide. Stansfield got the by-line and laid one on for another, which was well saved by Maynard-Brewer. Towards the end of the half we did have our two moments, the Docherty shot and Campbell wriggling free only to blow the cross, but at the break we were relieved not to be further behind.
The stats at half-time showed 58%/42% possession in their favour, with six efforts on goal, two on target, against five and zero for us. Just where the five came from I’m not sure aside from Docherty’s shot, which should have been marked down as on target.
There were two changes by us at the break, one enforced as Maynard-Brewer was replaced by Mannion, clearly the result (later confirmed) of an injury. The other was a change in formation, to a 4-4-2, which saw Small switch over to the left side – having got no change at all in the first half out of Cochrane, an England U20 international who only cost Birmingham something around £1.3m with add-ons – and Campbell more to the right. Did the change work? Hard to say. Yes, to the extent that Birmingham failed to have an effort on target in the second half; no to the extent that we seldom threatened to get back on level terms.
Our first changes, just before the hour mark, were Anderson and Kanu for Berry and Small, with Campbell clearly moving to the right wing. Not long after it was Leaburn and Gilbert for Godden and Coventry, with Aneke surprisingly left unused. If anything the only time we really threatened was not the Kanu shot but rather with around 10 minutes of normal time left Gilbert swung over a peach of a cross. Leaburn stretching got a touch on it but probably diverted it clear as Kanu was much better positioned just behind him. Otherwise the final minutes, including eight of stoppage time, were a damp squib as Birmingham dominated possession, made little attempt to score, but restricted us to desperate clearances that most of the time just came straight back.
It was disappointing for sure, but it wasn’t hard to recognise that Birmingham just had too much for us on the day and that by scoring fairly early were able to play without pressure. Our season isn’t going to be defined by a defeat to them, with no reason for any hangover effect from a first defeat in seven. If there was any sobering effect it was more that Birmingham with their current line-up might be viewed as a reasonable Championship side. If we get into the play-offs and glory be win them, just how much would need to be done to put us in that sort of position?
There’s a full week for the players to rest up and get ready to go again, at The Valley against Exeter. We sit and watch to see what happens on Tuesday night when Leyton Orient and Huddersfield, which both went back above us with victories yesterday, play their games in hand over us, away at Wrexham and Shrewsbury respectively. Then on Saturday something will again change, provided we win of course, with Leyton Orient away at Bolton, Reading hosting Birmingham, and Huddersfield at home to Peterborough. In an ideal world we will be back up to fifth with nobody around us having a game in hand, before we start March with a trip across the Thames to Leyton Orient, host Barnsley, then travel to Stockport. These are the games that are crucial, not yesterday’s.